To Trust or to Stockpile: Modeling Human-Simulation Interaction in Supply Chain Shortages

要旨

Understanding decision-making in dynamic and complex settings is a challenge yet essential for preventing, mitigating, and responding to adverse events (e.g., disasters, financial crises). Simulation games have shown promise to advance our understanding of decision-making in such settings. However, an open question remains on how we extract useful information from these games. We contribute an approach to model human-simulation interaction by leveraging existing methods to characterize: (1) system states of dynamic simulation environments (with Principal Component Analysis), (2) behavioral responses from human interaction with simulation (with Hidden Markov Models), and (3) behavioral responses across system states (with Sequence Analysis). We demonstrate this approach with our game simulating drug shortages in a supply chain context. Results from our experimental study with 135 participants show different player types (hoarders, reactors, followers), how behavior changes in different system states, and how sharing information impacts behavior. We discuss how our findings challenge existing literature.

受賞
Honorable Mention
著者
Omid Mohaddesi
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Jacqueline Griffin
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Ozlem Ergun
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
David Kaeli
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Stacy Marsella
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Casper Harteveld
Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, United States
論文URL

https://dl.acm.org/doi/abs/10.1145/3491102.3502089

動画

会議: CHI 2022

The ACM CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (https://chi2022.acm.org/)

セッション: Models and Theories

297
5 件の発表
2022-05-04 23:15:00
2022-05-05 00:30:00